National Aerospace Fastener Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, May 21st, 2026
1 Day
64.24%
decreased by 5.09%
1 Week
62.17%
decreased by 7.16%
1 Month
56.25%
decreased by 13.08%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 08:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4099 | 6.72 | |
| 0.1120 | 8.59 | |
| 0.8239 | 38.56 | |
| 0.2041 | 2.40 | |
| -0.2898 | -2.31 | |
| -0.0170 | -0.17 | |
| 0.2821 | 2.25 | |
| -0.3236 | -2.30 | |
| 0.3021 | 2.43 | |
| -0.3225 | -2.55 | |
| 0.3021 | 2.28 | |
| -0.1933 | -2.11 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 18, 2002 to May 15, 2026
Jun 18, 2002 to May 15, 2026
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