National Aerospace Fastener Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, May 21st, 2026
1 Day
68.45%
decreased by 4.98%
1 Week
67.21%
decreased by 6.22%
1 Month
63.86%
decreased by 9.57%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 08:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4059 | 6.75 | |
| 0.1134 | 8.60 | |
| 0.8193 | 37.19 | |
| 0.2071 | 2.46 | |
| -0.2932 | -2.36 | |
| -0.0188 | -0.19 | |
| 0.2875 | 2.33 | |
| -0.3278 | -2.37 | |
| 0.2984 | 2.43 | |
| -0.2988 | -2.36 | |
| 0.2319 | 1.70 | |
| 0.0132 | 0.08 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 18, 2002 to May 15, 2026
Jun 18, 2002 to May 15, 2026
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