Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Avanza Bank Holding AB MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

34.00%

increased by 5.85%

1 Week

32.06%

increased by 3.91%

1 Month

30.37%

increased by 2.22%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 08:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Avanza Bank Holding AB MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 7, 2025 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 362% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 362% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.0642
6.09***
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.2323
7.86***
λ₁tau intercept1.7408
7.84***
λ₂forecast adj.0.4113
5.97***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.180

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0642
6.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2323
7.86***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.7408
7.84***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4113
5.97***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.180

Half-life:

0 days