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V-Lab

Avanza Bank Holding AB MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

28.68%

decreased by 15.22%

1 Week

32.76%

decreased by 11.14%

1 Month

28.50%

decreased by 15.40%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Avanza Bank Holding AB MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 7, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.01
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.02
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4390
9.21***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0808
1.13
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1680
4.25***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6248
12.71***

Persistence:

0.220

Half-life:

0 days