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V-Lab

Avanza Bank Holding AB GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

64.98%

decreased by 0.09%

1 Week

65.96%

increased by 0.89%

1 Month

69.28%

increased by 4.21%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Avanza Bank Holding AB GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 7, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 36 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 36 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.66 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

30.1516
5.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2256
33.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9807
295.04***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.6640
17.13***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

36 days