Avanza Bank Holding AB EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
38.93%
decreased by 2.72%
1 Week
41.04%
decreased by 0.61%
1 Month
48.43%
increased by 6.78%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 7, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 83% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1343 | 8.37*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3559 | 17.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9552 | 144.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1047 | -3.54*** |
Persistence:
0.955
Half-life:
15 days
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