S&P 500 Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, April 22nd, 2026
1 Day
16.03%
decreased by 0.50%
1 Week
16.14%
decreased by 0.39%
1 Month
16.50%
decreased by 0.03%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, April 22, 2026 at 04:24 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3594 | 7.69 | |
| 0.1021 | 10.22 | |
| 0.8662 | 74.32 | |
| 0.0872 | 6.45 | |
| -0.1381 | -6.30 | |
| 0.0795 | 4.93 | |
| -0.0510 | -3.50 | |
| 0.0449 | 2.70 | |
| -0.0325 | -2.53 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 17, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 17, 2026
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