S&P GSCI Natural Gas Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:120.23% (-4.95%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1083 | 19.02 | |
| 0.0901 | 26.00 | |
| 0.9192 | 550.73 | |
| -0.0348 | -7.02 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 7, 1994 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 7, 1994 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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