V-Lab
Franklin XRP ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
56.53%
decreased by 6.69%
1 Week
61.65%
decreased by 1.57%
1 Month
64.22%
increased by 1.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.09 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 16.7953 | 6.81*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1641 | 3.24*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5413 | 11.97*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.0905 | 1.44 |
Persistence:
0.541
Half-life:
1 days
Other Franklin XRP ETF Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on ETFs