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V-Lab

Franklin XRP ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

132.88%

increased by 21.23%

1 Week

102.60%

decreased by 9.05%

1 Month

78.93%

decreased by 32.72%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Franklin XRP ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.98 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

18.8723
6.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2290
4.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5831
13.62***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.9777
2.39**

Persistence:

0.583

Half-life:

1 days