V-Lab
Franklin XRP ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
132.88%
increased by 21.23%
1 Week
102.60%
decreased by 9.05%
1 Month
78.93%
decreased by 32.72%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.98 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 18.8723 | 6.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2290 | 4.22*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5831 | 13.62*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.9777 | 2.39** |
Persistence:
0.583
Half-life:
1 days
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