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V-Lab

Franklin XRP ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

56.53%

decreased by 6.69%

1 Week

61.65%

decreased by 1.57%

1 Month

64.22%

increased by 1.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Franklin XRP ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.09 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

16.7953
6.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1641
3.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5413
11.97***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.0905
1.44

Persistence:

0.541

Half-life:

1 days