V-Lab
Franklin XRP ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
53.93%
decreased by 6.03%
1 Week
62.43%
increased by 2.47%
1 Month
71.40%
increased by 11.44%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 8.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2090 | 2.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3854 | 9.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3687 | 1.47 |
Persistence:
0.779
Half-life:
3 days
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