V-Lab
Franklin XRP ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
150.88%
decreased by 17.56%
1 Week
141.27%
decreased by 27.17%
1 Month
120.82%
decreased by 47.62%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 9.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4825 | 4.60*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2693 | 7.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2458 | 0.81 |
Persistence:
0.875
Half-life:
5 days
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