V-Lab
Franklin XRP ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
25.68%
decreased by 4.94%
1 Week
26.35%
decreased by 4.27%
1 Month
26.50%
decreased by 4.12%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5887 | 2.27** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1245 | 1.17 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -72.0631 | -2.15** |
| γ2 | 113.4774 | 2.44** |
| γ3 | -90.8423 | -2.39** |
Persistence:
0.125
Half-life:
0 days
Other Franklin XRP ETF Analyses
Other Spline-GARCH Analyses on ETFs