Skip to main content
V-Lab

Franklin XRP ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

25.68%

decreased by 4.94%

1 Week

26.35%

decreased by 4.27%

1 Month

26.50%

decreased by 4.12%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Franklin XRP ETF SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5887
2.27**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1245
1.17
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-72.0631
-2.15**
γ2113.4774
2.44**
γ3-90.8423
-2.39**

Persistence:

0.125

Half-life:

0 days