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V-Lab

Franklin XRP ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

36.41%

decreased by 4.62%

1 Week

38.14%

decreased by 2.89%

1 Month

38.53%

decreased by 2.50%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Franklin XRP ETF S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1008
2.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1461
1.01
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1111.0489
1.36
γ2-251.7133
-2.03**
γ3269.7800
3.04***
γ4-208.7621
-2.81***
γ5110.3699
2.49**

Persistence:

0.146

Half-life:

0 days