Skip to main content
V-Lab

Turkiye Sigorta As GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

30.63%

increased by 1.16%

1 Week

31.72%

increased by 2.25%

1 Month

35.47%

increased by 6.00%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:49 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Turkiye Sigorta As GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 2, 1994 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 56 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 56 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.56 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

14.9417
3.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0791
42.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9878
320.71***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.5574
20.13***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

56 days