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Turkiye Sigorta As GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

28.52%

decreased by 1.62%

1 Week

29.73%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Month

33.84%

increased by 3.70%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:18 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Turkiye Sigorta As GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 2, 1994 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 57 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 57 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.56 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

14.9668
3.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0792
42.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9879
323.16***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.5579
20.27***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

57 days