V-Lab
Turkiye Sigorta As GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
30.36%
increased by 0.26%
1 Week
32.23%
increased by 2.13%
1 Month
38.06%
increased by 7.96%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:48 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 2, 1994 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3103 | 21.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1147 | 29.30*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8652 | 215.23*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
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