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V-Lab

Turkiye Sigorta As Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

34.95%

increased by 0.06%

1 Week

34.69%

decreased by 0.20%

1 Month

33.85%

decreased by 1.04%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:48 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Turkiye Sigorta As APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 2, 1994 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days. The volatility power δ = 1.22 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0760
10.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1835
52.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8165
205.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0319
-4.05***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.2156
31.39***

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days