V-Lab
Turkiye Sigorta As GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
29.53%
decreased by 0.76%
1 Week
31.48%
increased by 1.19%
1 Month
37.53%
increased by 7.24%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:15 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 2, 1994 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 35 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 35 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3087 | 21.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1133 | 18.41*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8651 | 213.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0038 | 0.42 |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
35 days
Other Turkiye Sigorta As Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities