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V-Lab

Turkiye Sigorta As GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

30.38%

increased by 0.25%

1 Week

32.27%

increased by 2.14%

1 Month

38.15%

increased by 8.02%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:48 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Turkiye Sigorta As GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 2, 1994 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3126
21.23***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1134
18.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8646
213.00***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0039
0.43

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days