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V-Lab

Turkiye Sigorta As GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

35.26%

decreased by 1.17%

1 Week

36.74%

increased by 0.31%

1 Month

41.50%

increased by 5.07%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 05:22 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Turkiye Sigorta As GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 2, 1994 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3151
21.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1133
18.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8643
212.52***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0042
0.46

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days