V-Lab
Turkiye Sigorta As EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
30.22%
decreased by 1.67%
1 Week
31.99%
increased by 0.10%
1 Month
38.68%
increased by 6.79%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 2, 1994 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1034 | 23.49*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2250 | 33.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9643 | 558.03*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0040 | -0.76 |
Persistence:
0.964
Half-life:
19 days
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