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V-Lab

Spenda Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

244.70%

decreased by 11.03%

1 Week

246.26%

decreased by 9.47%

1 Month

252.07%

decreased by 3.66%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 05:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Spenda Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 29, 2002 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 70% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0460
7.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9063
233.71***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0324
4.53***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.9096
0.31
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
0.31
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

22 days