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V-Lab

Pakistan Intl Bulk Terminal GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

45.26%

decreased by 1.11%

1 Week

45.29%

decreased by 1.08%

1 Month

45.38%

decreased by 0.99%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 02:44 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Pakistan Intl Bulk Terminal GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 16, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 38% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3003
14.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0782
12.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8707
195.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0296
2.34**

Persistence:

0.964

Half-life:

19 days