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Pakistan Intl Bulk Terminal GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

39.68%

increased by 1.66%

1 Week

40.13%

increased by 2.11%

1 Month

41.48%

increased by 3.46%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 02:42 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Pakistan Intl Bulk Terminal GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 16, 2014 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 18-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.3067
3.66***
αARCH0.0796
3.22***
βGARCH0.8680
47.93***
γleverage0.0298
0.58

0.963

Persistence

18d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3067
3.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0796
3.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8680
47.93***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0298
0.58

Persistence:

0.963

Half-life:

18 days