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V-Lab

Pakistan Intl Bulk Terminal Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

39.37%

decreased by 1.66%

1 Week

40.18%

decreased by 0.85%

1 Month

43.12%

increased by 2.09%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Pakistan Intl Bulk Terminal APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 130 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. The volatility power δ = 2.45 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2895
8.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1231
15.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8464
144.24***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0151
-1.77*
δ

power

Transformation power

2.4496
13.89***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

130 days