Pakistan Intl Bulk Terminal AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
43.22%
decreased by 2.31%
1 Week
43.33%
decreased by 2.20%
1 Month
43.66%
decreased by 1.87%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 02:44 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 16, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3966 | 18.14*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1040 | 34.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8451 | 204.33*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1159 | 1.59 |
Persistence:
0.949
Half-life:
13 days
Other Pakistan Intl Bulk Terminal Analyses
Other AGARCH Analyses on International Equities