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V-Lab

Pakistan Intl Bulk Terminal AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

43.22%

decreased by 2.31%

1 Week

43.33%

decreased by 2.20%

1 Month

43.66%

decreased by 1.87%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 02:44 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Pakistan Intl Bulk Terminal AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 16, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3966
18.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1040
34.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8451
204.33***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1159
1.59

Persistence:

0.949

Half-life:

13 days