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V-Lab

Pakistan Intl Bulk Terminal GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

42.52%

decreased by 1.06%

1 Week

42.68%

decreased by 0.90%

1 Month

43.16%

decreased by 0.42%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Pakistan Intl Bulk Terminal GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 16, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3205
16.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0918
27.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8673
187.94***

Persistence:

0.959

Half-life:

17 days