Pakistan Intl Bulk Terminal GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
42.52%
decreased by 1.06%
1 Week
42.68%
decreased by 0.90%
1 Month
43.16%
decreased by 0.42%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 16, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3205 | 16.26*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0918 | 27.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8673 | 187.94*** |
Persistence:
0.959
Half-life:
17 days
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