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Pakistan Intl Bulk Terminal GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

39.71%

increased by 2.25%

1 Week

40.50%

increased by 3.04%

1 Month

42.81%

increased by 5.35%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Pakistan Intl Bulk Terminal GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 16, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.89 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

9.3370
4.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1116
16.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9576
96.79***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.8853
8.45***

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days