Pakistan Intl Bulk Terminal Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
44.35%
increased by 1.80%
1 Week
44.48%
increased by 1.93%
1 Month
44.94%
increased by 2.39%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 39 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 39 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1613 | 9.17*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1228 | 17.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8638 | 109.81*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0085 | -1.01 |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
39 days
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