Pakistan Intl Bulk Terminal EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
43.66%
decreased by 0.51%
1 Week
44.04%
decreased by 0.13%
1 Month
45.20%
increased by 1.03%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 16, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1003 | 15.76*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1837 | 28.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9549 | 344.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0109 | -1.81* |
Persistence:
0.955
Half-life:
15 days
Other Pakistan Intl Bulk Terminal Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on International Equities