V-Lab
Nordic Semiconductor MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
40.97%
decreased by 0.84%
1 Week
42.03%
increased by 0.22%
1 Month
44.06%
increased by 2.25%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:43 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 22, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 271% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0276 | 10.48*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8308 | 63.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0748 | 10.88*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0907 | 0.96 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0193 | 1.57 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9717 | 46.56*** |
Persistence:
0.896
Half-life:
6 days
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