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V-Lab

Nordic Semiconductor MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

46.74%

increased by 2.33%

1 Week

46.90%

increased by 2.49%

1 Month

47.24%

increased by 2.83%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 05:21 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nordic Semiconductor MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 22, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 277% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0271
10.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8317
64.06***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0749
10.92***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0912
0.96
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0192
1.56
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9718
46.38***

Persistence:

0.896

Half-life:

6 days