V-Lab
Nordic Semiconductor MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
46.74%
increased by 2.33%
1 Week
46.90%
increased by 2.49%
1 Month
47.24%
increased by 2.83%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 05:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 22, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 277% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0271 | 10.39*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8317 | 64.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0749 | 10.92*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0912 | 0.96 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0192 | 1.56 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9718 | 46.38*** |
Persistence:
0.896
Half-life:
6 days
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