V-Lab
Nordic Semiconductor MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
45.31%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Week
45.52%
decreased by 0.13%
1 Month
46.28%
increased by 0.63%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 22, 2000 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0039 | 2.33** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9630 | 410.31*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0393 | 19.92*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.4106 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1429 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
51 days
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