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V-Lab

Nordic Semiconductor MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

45.31%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Week

45.52%

decreased by 0.13%

1 Month

46.28%

increased by 0.63%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nordic Semiconductor MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 22, 2000 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0039
2.33**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9630
410.31***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0393
19.92***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

9.4106
0.01
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1429
0.00

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

51 days