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V-Lab

Nordic Semiconductor MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

40.97%

decreased by 0.84%

1 Week

42.03%

increased by 0.22%

1 Month

44.06%

increased by 2.25%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:43 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nordic Semiconductor MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 22, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 271% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0276
10.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8308
63.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0748
10.88***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0907
0.96
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0193
1.57
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9717
46.56***

Persistence:

0.896

Half-life:

6 days