V-Lab
Nordic Semiconductor GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
43.68%
decreased by 0.49%
1 Week
44.08%
decreased by 0.09%
1 Month
45.48%
increased by 1.31%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:41 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 22, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1956 | 9.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0041 | 3.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9528 | 474.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0531 | 14.68*** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
42 days
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