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V-Lab

Nordic Semiconductor GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

48.03%

decreased by 1.89%

1 Week

48.26%

decreased by 1.66%

1 Month

49.08%

decreased by 0.84%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nordic Semiconductor GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 22, 2000 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 38 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 38 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.88 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

11.6738
5.60***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0551
28.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9821
354.54***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.8788
10.38***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days