Skip to main content
V-Lab

Nordic Semiconductor GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

49.30%

increased by 2.54%

1 Week

49.49%

increased by 2.73%

1 Month

50.14%

increased by 3.38%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 05:21 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nordic Semiconductor GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 22, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 38 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 38 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.87 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

11.6998
5.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0552
28.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9821
352.75***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.8706
10.41***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days