V-Lab
Nordic Semiconductor AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
42.40%
decreased by 1.06%
1 Week
45.85%
increased by 2.39%
1 Month
51.73%
increased by 8.27%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 12:52 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 22, 2000 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 1.01) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4476 | 23.72*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1489 | 30.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7233 | 171.92*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 1.0054 | 9.59*** |
Persistence:
0.872
Half-life:
5 days
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