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V-Lab

Nordic Semiconductor AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

42.40%

decreased by 1.06%

1 Week

45.85%

increased by 2.39%

1 Month

51.73%

increased by 8.27%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 12:52 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nordic Semiconductor AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 22, 2000 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 1.01) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4476
23.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1489
30.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7233
171.92***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

1.0054
9.59***

Persistence:

0.872

Half-life:

5 days