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V-Lab

Nordic Semiconductor Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

42.40%

decreased by 0.87%

1 Week

44.94%

increased by 1.67%

1 Month

48.06%

increased by 4.79%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:42 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nordic Semiconductor S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 22, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1237
6.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1048
4.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6906
10.19***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.3297
-2.18**
γ20.5666
2.19**
γ3-0.3077
-1.71*
γ4-0.0192
-0.17
γ50.2099
2.23**
γ6-0.1491
-1.22
γ70.0293
0.18
γ80.0725
0.48
γ9-0.2085
-1.73*
γ100.1952
2.48**

Persistence:

0.795

Half-life:

3 days