V-Lab
Nordic Semiconductor Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
50.39%
increased by 1.91%
1 Week
50.40%
increased by 1.92%
1 Month
50.46%
increased by 1.98%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 12:52 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 23, 2000 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 69% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.79 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1802 | 12.65*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1044 | 33.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8788 | 258.33*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1457 | 15.33*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.7859 | 31.84*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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