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V-Lab

Kafr El-Zayat Pesticides & Chemicals Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

33.29%

increased by 5.79%

1 Week

35.14%

increased by 7.64%

1 Month

37.48%

increased by 9.98%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kafr El-Zayat Pesticides & Chemicals Co MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 14, 1996 to Jul 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 57% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2803
25.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3825
24.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1014
-5.59***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.6964
1.52
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7329
6.28***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.612

Half-life:

1 days