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V-Lab

Kafr El-Zayat Pesticides & Chemicals Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026

1 Day

50.56%

decreased by 16.27%

1 Week

48.30%

decreased by 18.53%

1 Month

46.66%

decreased by 20.17%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kafr El-Zayat Pesticides & Chemicals Co MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 14, 1996 to Aug 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 61% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2789
25.42***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4226
27.06***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1051
-5.91***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.7921
1.68*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7282
6.33***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.649

Half-life:

2 days