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V-Lab

Kafr El-Zayat Pesticides & Chemicals Co AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

34.88%

increased by 1.24%

1 Week

40.72%

increased by 7.08%

1 Month

51.40%

increased by 17.76%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kafr El-Zayat Pesticides & Chemicals Co AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 14, 1996 to Jul 9, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = -0.47) so that positive returns raise next-day volatility more than negative returns of the same size. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and rare among risky assets.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3691
30.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2755
38.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6281
99.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.4710
-5.66***

Persistence:

0.904

Half-life:

7 days