Kafr El-Zayat Pesticides & Chemicals Co AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
34.88%
increased by 1.24%
1 Week
40.72%
increased by 7.08%
1 Month
51.40%
increased by 17.76%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 14, 1996 to Jul 9, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = -0.47) so that positive returns raise next-day volatility more than negative returns of the same size. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and rare among risky assets.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3691 | 30.10*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2755 | 38.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6281 | 99.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.4710 | -5.66*** |
Persistence:
0.904
Half-life:
7 days
Other Kafr El-Zayat Pesticides & Chemicals Co Analyses
Other AGARCH Analyses on International Equities