V-Lab
Kafr El-Zayat Pesticides & Chemicals Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026
1 Day
3,130.53%
decreased by 276.94%
1 Week
3,127.58%
decreased by 279.89%
1 Month
3,115.83%
decreased by 291.64%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 14, 1996 to Aug 25, 2026Extended Optimization
Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
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GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2,217.7189 | 8.98*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0855 | 219.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9990 | 8,763.16*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0001 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
693 days
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