Kafr El-Zayat Pesticides & Chemicals Co EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
40.40%
increased by 5.02%
1 Week
44.41%
increased by 9.03%
1 Month
51.37%
increased by 15.99%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 14, 1996 to Jul 9, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 30% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4203 | 15.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3403 | 27.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8328 | 74.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0449 | 3.76*** |
Persistence:
0.833
Half-life:
4 days
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