V-Lab
Kafr El-Zayat Pesticides & Chemicals Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026
1 Day
88.79%
decreased by 14.85%
1 Week
85.16%
decreased by 18.48%
1 Month
75.40%
decreased by 28.24%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 14, 1996 to Aug 25, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 41% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0614 | 19.58*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2524 | 12.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7071 | 77.74*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0736 | -2.57** |
Persistence:
0.923
Half-life:
9 days
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