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V-Lab

Kafr El-Zayat Pesticides & Chemicals Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026

1 Day

88.79%

decreased by 14.85%

1 Week

85.16%

decreased by 18.48%

1 Month

75.40%

decreased by 28.24%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kafr El-Zayat Pesticides & Chemicals Co GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 14, 1996 to Aug 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 41% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0614
19.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2524
12.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7071
77.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0736
-2.57**

Persistence:

0.923

Half-life:

9 days