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V-Lab

Kafr El-Zayat Pesticides & Chemicals Co APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

37.29%

increased by 3.82%

1 Week

41.03%

increased by 7.56%

1 Month

49.12%

increased by 15.65%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Kafr El-Zayat Pesticides & Chemicals Co APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 14, 1996 to Jul 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 37% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.77 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8231
9.34***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2082
26.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7240
69.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0897
-4.94***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.7680
21.07***

Persistence:

0.918

Half-life:

8 days