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V-Lab

Kafr El-Zayat Pesticides & Chemicals Co Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

28.30%

increased by 5.48%

1 Week

28.83%

increased by 6.01%

1 Month

29.31%

increased by 6.49%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kafr El-Zayat Pesticides & Chemicals Co SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 14, 1996 to Jul 9, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.3311
3.92***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2451
5.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4621
7.67***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.4303
2.16**
γ2-0.6284
-2.01**
γ30.4562
2.33**
γ4-0.5381
-4.00***
γ50.3430
3.07***
γ60.0631
0.66
γ7-0.2081
-2.39**
γ80.1217
1.06
γ9-0.1270
-0.78
γ100.1032
0.50

Persistence:

0.707

Half-life:

2 days