V-Lab
Jpmorgan Active High YLD ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
2.36%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Week
2.48%
increased by 0.01%
1 Month
2.84%
increased by 0.37%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:28 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 25, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0017 | 6.12*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8456 | 43.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2613 | 7.39*** |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
29 days
Other Jpmorgan Active High YLD ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs