V-Lab
Jpmorgan Active High YLD ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
2.93%
decreased by 0.21%
1 Week
2.96%
decreased by 0.18%
1 Month
3.05%
decreased by 0.09%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:25 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 25, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0030 | 5.34*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1398 | 6.89*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7859 | 27.79*** |
Persistence:
0.926
Half-life:
9 days
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