V-Lab
Jpmorgan Active High YLD ETF MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
3.86%
decreased by 0.25%
1 Week
3.72%
decreased by 0.39%
1 Month
3.46%
decreased by 0.65%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:25 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 25, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0054 | 3.41*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1452 | 3.86*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7232 | 20.69*** |
Persistence:
0.868
Half-life:
5 days
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