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V-Lab

Jpmorgan Active High YLD ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

3.21%

increased by 0.09%

1 Week

3.19%

increased by 0.07%

1 Month

3.13%

increased by 0.01%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:25 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Jpmorgan Active High YLD ETF AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 25, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0019
1.18
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0219
2.46**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9104
25.22***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1595
-1.69*

Persistence:

0.932

Half-life:

10 days