V-Lab
Jpmorgan Active High YLD ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
3.21%
increased by 0.09%
1 Week
3.19%
increased by 0.07%
1 Month
3.13%
increased by 0.01%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:25 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 25, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0019 | 1.18 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0219 | 2.46** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9104 | 25.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1595 | -1.69* |
Persistence:
0.932
Half-life:
10 days
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