V-Lab
Jpmorgan Active High YLD ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
2.90%
decreased by 0.18%
1 Week
3.00%
decreased by 0.08%
1 Month
3.25%
increased by 0.17%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:25 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 25, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0036 | 8.14*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0031 | 0.41 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7884 | 49.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2790 | 6.67*** |
Persistence:
0.931
Half-life:
10 days
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