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V-Lab

Jpmorgan Active High YLD ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

2.90%

decreased by 0.18%

1 Week

3.00%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Month

3.25%

increased by 0.17%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:25 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Jpmorgan Active High YLD ETF AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 25, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0036
8.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0031
0.41
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7884
49.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2790
6.67***

Persistence:

0.931

Half-life:

10 days