V-Lab
Direxion Daily Googl Bear 1x Shares MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
30.36%
decreased by 1.77%
1 Week
30.42%
decreased by 1.71%
1 Month
30.52%
decreased by 1.61%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:34 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 8, 2022 to Sep 11, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 31 | |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| γleverage | 0.0309 | 0.85 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 3.5026 | 0.21 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0714 | 0.22 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
0.015
Persistence0d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0309 | 0.85 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.5026 | 0.21 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0714 | 0.22 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.015
Half-life:
0 days
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