V-Lab
Direxion Daily Googl Bear 1x Shares MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
31.99%
decreased by 0.13%
1 Week
32.06%
decreased by 0.06%
1 Month
31.46%
decreased by 0.66%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 8, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0291 | 0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.4289 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1021 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.015
Half-life:
0 days
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