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Direxion Daily Googl Bear 1x Shares MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026

1 Day

30.00%

decreased by 0.09%

1 Week

30.23%

increased by 0.14%

1 Month

30.37%

increased by 0.28%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Direxion Daily Googl Bear 1x Shares MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 8, 2022 to Oct 2, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
mwindow31
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.0305
0.84
λ₁tau intercept3.4450
0.24
λ₂forecast adj.0.0822
0.24
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.015

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0305
0.84
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.4450
0.24
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0822
0.24
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.015

Half-life:

0 days