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Direxion Daily Googl Bear 1x Shares Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026

1 Day

33.26%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Week

33.66%

increased by 0.36%

1 Month

33.74%

increased by 0.44%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Direxion Daily Googl Bear 1x Shares S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 8, 2022 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3568
7.96***
αARCH0.0324
1.11
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ10.2935
2.36**
γ2-0.3610
-2.28**

0.032

Persistence

0d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3568
7.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0324
1.11
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ10.2935
2.36**
γ2-0.3610
-2.28**

Persistence:

0.032

Half-life:

0 days