V-Lab
Direxion Daily Googl Bear 1x Shares Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
33.86%
decreased by 0.09%
1 Week
34.29%
increased by 0.34%
1 Month
34.37%
increased by 0.42%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 8, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3720 | 7.85*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0321 | 1.10 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | 0.3339 | 2.46** |
| γ2 | -0.4127 | -2.39** |
Persistence:
0.032
Half-life:
0 days
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