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V-Lab

Direxion Daily Googl Bear 1x Shares Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

40.72%

increased by 5.26%

1 Week

40.48%

increased by 5.02%

1 Month

39.58%

increased by 4.12%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Direxion Daily Googl Bear 1x Shares APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 8, 2022 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 88% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.74 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0598
5.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0514
12.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9350
238.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1800
-5.49***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.7356
10.59***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days