Direxion Daily Googl Bear 1x Shares GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026
1 Day
31.11%
decreased by 0.10%
1 Week
31.54%
increased by 0.33%
1 Month
31.63%
increased by 0.42%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 8, 2022 to Oct 2, 2026σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 3.8289 | 2.40** |
| αARCH | 0.0243 | 0.48 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| γleverage | 0.0259 | 0.23 |
0.037
Persistence0d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.8289 | 2.40** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0243 | 0.48 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0259 | 0.23 |
Persistence:
0.037
Half-life:
0 days
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