V-Lab
Direxion Daily Googl Bear 1x Shares GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
40.02%
increased by 1.26%
1 Week
37.74%
decreased by 1.02%
1 Month
34.37%
decreased by 4.39%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 8, 2022 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8051 | 4.63*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0679 | 5.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7481 | 16.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0197 | -1.05 |
Persistence:
0.806
Half-life:
3 days
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