Coil Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, May 21st, 2026
1 Day
19.77%
decreased by 0.05%
1 Week
23.01%
increased by 3.19%
1 Month
27.91%
increased by 8.09%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 06:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1067 | 5.92 | |
| 0.2069 | 6.55 | |
| 0.6563 | 16.02 | |
| -0.0043 | -0.05 | |
| 0.0148 | 0.10 | |
| -0.0180 | -0.11 | |
| 0.0061 | 0.04 | |
| 0.0202 | 0.15 | |
| 0.0274 | 0.23 | |
| -0.2685 | -2.18 | |
| 0.5128 | 3.66 | |
| -0.5092 | -3.18 | |
| 0.3078 | 2.47 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 7, 1999 to May 15, 2026
Dec 7, 1999 to May 15, 2026
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