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V-Lab

Coil Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

31.58%

increased by 1.14%

1 Week

35.48%

increased by 5.04%

1 Month

42.79%

increased by 12.35%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 06:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Coil APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 7, 1999 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9903
14.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2130
42.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6860
108.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0151
-1.73*
δ

power

Transformation power

2.0254
34.30***

Persistence:

0.901

Half-life:

7 days