Coil Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
31.58%
increased by 1.14%
1 Week
35.48%
increased by 5.04%
1 Month
42.79%
increased by 12.35%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 06:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 7, 1999 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9903 | 14.58*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2130 | 42.60*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6860 | 108.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0151 | -1.73* |
δ power Transformation power | 2.0254 | 34.30*** |
Persistence:
0.901
Half-life:
7 days
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