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V-Lab

Coil Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

30.41%

increased by 1.78%

1 Week

34.63%

increased by 6.00%

1 Month

42.40%

increased by 13.77%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Coil AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 7, 1999 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9674
28.82***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2200
26.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6868
109.69***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0131
-0.88

Persistence:

0.900

Half-life:

7 days