Coil Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
30.41%
increased by 1.78%
1 Week
34.63%
increased by 6.00%
1 Month
42.40%
increased by 13.77%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 7, 1999 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9674 | 28.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2200 | 26.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6868 | 109.69*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0131 | -0.88 |
Persistence:
0.900
Half-life:
7 days
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