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V-Lab

Coil AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

31.64%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Week

36.91%

increased by 5.26%

1 Month

46.02%

increased by 14.37%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Coil AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 7, 1999 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2203
22.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2008
27.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6913
77.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1772
1.69*

Persistence:

0.892

Half-life:

6 days